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Research Background
Relying on over 20 years of accumulation of industry data, continuous tracking of industry changes and in-depth researches, BOABC will provide you with a valuable analysis report on the soybean industry and investment.  

In 2024, the per unit area yield of soybeans in China hit a new high, but the sown area and output decreased slightly. Affected by the decline in soybean prices, the planting income dropped. In 2024, China’s sown area of soybeans decreased slightly, the yield per unit area reached a record high, and the annual output edged down but still exceeded 20 million tons for the third consecutive year. The per unit area yield of soybeans edged up 0.5 percent, while the annual average price in the main producing regions dropped by about 18 percent year on year.  The prices of inputs in soybean planting mostly declined, but land costs continued to increase at a high level. The cash income of soybean planting reached about 4,470 yuan/hectare (298 yuan/mu) in 2024, a decrease of about 645 yuan/hectare (43 yuan/mu) from the year earlier, according to BOABC’s estimations.  

In 2024, China’s soybean consumption declined slightly, soybean import prices slumped, and the import volume continued to climb in China. The utilization of soybeans for pressing oil went down, while the consumption for food edged up. BOABC predicts that China’s soybean consumption will reach 108.36 million tons in 2024/25, a decrease of 2.17 percent from the year earlier. According to data released by the General Administration of Customs of China, the average import price of soybeans stood at US$ 512/ton in the January-to-November period of 2024, a decline of 14.85 percent compared with that for the full year of 2023. In the reporting period, China imported a total of 97.1 million tons of soybeans, an increase of 8.38 percent year on year, and reported monthly imports of more than 10 million tons in four months.  BOABC forecasts soybean imports of about 98.0 million tons in China for 2024/25(October 2024 to September 2025).

In 2024, imported soybean crushing turned losses into profits, while homegrown soybean crushing suffered heavier losses. Over the past decade, the profits of imported soybean crushing were relatively high, but homegrown soybean crushing was losing money for a long time due to high soybean prices and less obvious price advantages of soybean oil.  According to BOABC’s monitoring data, the oversupply of soybeans  didn’t change, and the prices of soybeans and related products dropped. Imported soybean crushing turned losses into gains theoretically, with a profit of about 14 yuan/ton, while  homegrown soybean crushing made a loss of up to 650 yuan/ton.  

This report summarizes the characteristics of soybean production, trade, consumption and price changes, predicts the development and market trends of China’s soybean industry in 2025, and analyzes the operating performance of key domestic soybean crushers.

BOABC believes that this report is an important decision-making basis for domestic and foreign soybean producers, traders, processors and agricultural investors, as well as a valuable reference for industry associations and research institutions.
  
Contents:

1. Analysis of International Soybean Supply and Demand in 2024/25
   1. 1 Global Soybean Output Is Expected to Increase in 2024/25, with Sharper Growth in Brazil and the United States  
   2. 2 Global Soybean Consumption Is Expected to Increase in 2024/25, with Over 1 Million Tons Consumed by China
   3. 3 Global Soybean Trade Is Expected to Keep High in 2024/25
   4. 4 Global Soybean Supply Is Expected to Be Sufficient in 2024/25   

2.  Analysis of Soybean Production in China in 2024
   1. 1 Changes in Soybean Production in 2024  
   2. 2 Soybean Production in Main Producing Provinces
   3. 3 Soybean Planting Benefits Declined
3.  Analysis of Soybean Imports in 2024
   1. 1 Increased Import Volume and Declined Import Prices in 2024
   2. 2 Highly Concentrated Sources of China’s Imported Soybeans 
   3. 3 Increased Profits in Soybean Imports  
4. Analysis of Soybean Consumption in 2024
   1. 1 Slight Decrease in Total Soybean Consumption 
   2. 2 Decreased Consumption of Soybeans for Oil Crushing
   3. 3 Polarized Crushing Profits between Imported Soybeans and Homegrown Soybeans
5. Loose Soybean Supply in 2024
6. Analysis of Soybean Prices in 2024
   1. 1 Soybean Prices Continued to Decline Due to Oversupply   
   2. 2 Soybean Futures Prices Also Fell Sharply
7.  Analysis of Soybean Crushing Industry and Key Enterprises
   1. 1 Changes in Crushing Capacity and Crushing Volume in China
   2. 2 COFCO Group (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
   3. 3 Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co, Ltd. (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
   4. 4 Sinograin (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
   5. 5 Jiusan Group (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
   6. 6 Hopefull Grain&Oil (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
   7. 7 Shandong Bohi Industry (Basic Information and Operation Situation)
8.  Forecast for China’s Soybean Markets in 2025
   1. 1 Soybean Production Forecast
   2. 2 Soybean Imports Forecast
   3. 3 Soybean Consumption Forecast
   4. 4 Soybean Price Trend Forecast

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